Market Updates

🎥 March Subscriber Q&A

Mining costs, bear market recovery scenarios, quantum risk, geopolitical developments and whether it's a good time to stack gold - your questions…

Apr 2 • James Check (Checkmatey) and Alec from Checkonchain

Time Pain Usually Ends With A Bang

There are no shortage of headlines and catalysts to force a downwards repricing of risk assets in the weeks ahead. Today's study will be an analysis of…

Mar 30 • James Check (Checkmatey)

A Classic Bitcoin Market Update

We're long overdue a complete market update, and today we perform a broad overview of pricing models, mean reversion probabilities, and what spot…

Mar 26 • James Check (Checkmatey)

Devil's Advocate: Bear Market Edition

Today's piece will construct a steel-man case against my prevailing market thesis. I want to analyse the other side of the coin, in an effort to think…

Mar 23 • James Check (Checkmatey)

The Big Picture: Macro & Onchain Update with TBL

In a new podcast format, James and Nik are back to discuss the current macro, geopolitical, and Bitcoin onchain setup for markets, and how we see the…

Mar 19 • James Check (Checkmatey) and Nik Bhatia

Bitcoin Up, Everything Else Down?

For the last 6mths, Bitcoin was inversely correlated to everything...BTC sold off, but gold and equities hit fresh ATHs. This has recently flipped as…

Mar 16 • James Check (Checkmatey)

Bear Flag Fractals

Everyone is looking at the second bear flag in 2022, and anticipating another repeat of history, and lower prices to follow. History rarely repeats, but…

Mar 12 • James Check (Checkmatey)

Fourth Turning Days

The world currently finds itself in a bit of a geopolitical pickle, with a deteriorating and very unfortunate situation unfolding in the Middle East…

Mar 9 • James Check (Checkmatey)

Flash Update: BTC Breaks $70k

In this flash market update, we explore BTC's rally above $70k from an onchain and derivatives perspective.

Mar 4 • James Check (Checkmatey)

Are The ETFs Still Extraordinary?

The Bitcoin ETFs have seen $11.3 Billion in outflows, the average investor is down -20%, and 3-out-of-4 inflows occurred at higher prices...Don't even…

Mar 4 • James Check (Checkmatey)

Slaying The Bear

Today's analysis will lay out a set of ideas that describe what the end of a Bitcoin bear market looks like, and the tools I track for assessing when…

Mar 2 • James Check (Checkmatey)

🎥 February Subscriber Q&A

We had a great rip this week, covering: Derivatives vs 21M, MSTR downside, gold parity timing, Chopsolidation risk, STRC considerations, and how to take…

Feb 26 • James Check (Checkmatey)

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