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Flagging Out
Bitcoin keeps trying to grind higher, but is yet to achieve any serious lift-off the bottom. The concern is this price action is starting to resemble a…
Dec 11
55
18
2
One Day, Satoshi's Coins Will Move
Given enough time, quantum computing, or some other technological breakthrough will eventually crack the cryptography which secures Satoshi's coins...we…
Dec 9
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
51
46
2
First Relief (+ MSTR Analysis)
Bitcoin is experiencing the first relief bounce since the $80k local low, and is battling to get back up to the critical $95k level. MSTR is now trading…
Dec 5
63
8
2
Install Better Brakes w/ David Dredge (Rough Consensus Podcast)
Today's conversation is with David Dredge from Convex Strategies, who is an expert in understanding tail risks and the role volatility has as an asset…
Dec 3
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
34
8
1
A Bear Market History Lesson
As Bitcoin attempts to re-find equilibrium, it’s time to revisit previous bear market structures to better think through the potential levels where we…
Dec 2
81
19
4
November Subscriber Q&A - Video Recording
We had a great rip this week, covering: Timing the bottom, 2026 outlook, and why the bear market consensus might be "too convenient".
Nov 27
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
39
8
Are We Hammering Out A Bottom?
Price has returned to The True Market Mean at $82k, and the question we now have to ask, is whether the market is ready to start hammering out a bottom…
Nov 24
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
72
37
4
Catching Knives: Market & Macro Update With The Bitcoin Layer
The Bitcoin price is in free fall, and has just traded back to $86k this week. With our bear market goggles now in place, it is time to review both…
Nov 21
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
,
Augustine Carrasco
, and
Nik Bhatia
61
47
2
The Bulls Last Stand
This is it. The Bitcoin price has finally reached the long-discussed $95k price zone which we have called the Bulls Last Stand, and it get very hairy…
Nov 17
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
72
45
2
A Top? Or Not?
Investors are understandably worried that a cycle top has been established. Today's analysis compares the supply structure of the 2017, 2021, and 2025…
Nov 13
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
66
36
2
Bullish Selling
Sell-side pressure from investors who believe the 4yr cycle has ended hit a new local high this weekend, exceeding $3.1B/day...and yet the bears still…
Nov 10
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
80
32
4
Fire Sale
Bitcoin traded below $100k, so I've prepared a flash update covering my raw unfiltered opinion about the sell-off.
Nov 5
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
69
25
1
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