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Looking Down
The market is working pretty hard to hold onto the Short-Term Holder cost basis at $109k, but as yet, the bulls are yet to put in a meaningful bottom…
Sep 2
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
61
26
Bitcoin Tags The STH Cost Basis
A quick update from my side, given we're now trading around the STH cost basis of $108.8k.
Aug 30
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
83
13
Subscriber Q&A - August 2025
Wen top? Where bottom? How do we monitor when the bull is rolling over? Just a sample of the questions we go through in this months Q&A discussion.
Aug 28
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
and
Alec from Checkonchain
43
27
Seasonally Soft September
September is a statistically soft month, not only for Bitcoin, but for most risk assets. Today we're going to investigate the BTC demand profile to see…
Aug 25
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
62
25
That's Not a Dip...
Is the fear we're seeing about this sell-off warranted, and is the damage large enough to justify this fear? How does this compare to the start of prior…
Aug 21
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
72
28
Soft Around The Edges
Bitcoin continues to trade in a relatively soft manner since failing to sustain an ATH break-out last week. Today's report investigates the sources of…
Aug 18
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
63
25
The Point of Control
Bitcoin has just retraced from the fresh $123k ATH, and returned to the prior trading range at $118k, printing a fairly ugly price candle. This is a…
Aug 15
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
83
14
Macro & Liquidity Update with The Bitcoin Layer
Bitcoin is highly sensitive to global macro and liquidity conditions, and today we're pleased to collaborate with our friends at the Bitcoin Layer to…
Aug 13
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
,
Nik Bhatia
, and
Augustine Carrasco
69
32
Masterclass #21: Wen Top?
"How to spot Bitcoin cycle tops?" is by far the most popular question I receive as an analyst. Whilst we cannot predict the future, we can model where…
Aug 11
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
76
31
Time-In-The-Market
If there was ever a time for the 4yr Bitcoin halving cycle to break, this market environment is likely it. Given we're less than 30-days from the danger…
Aug 7
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
82
56
Bitcoin Damage Report
Bitcoin has crashed once again to *checks notes* $113k, being the first pull-back since breaking to new ATHs. In today's report, we inspect the damage…
Aug 4
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
75
27
Absorbing Billions On A Weekend
The Bitcoin market just absorbed the sale of eighty thousand BTC on a weekend, and the market barely flinched. If this doesn't send a signal for how…
Jul 28
•
James Check (Checkmatey)
82
29
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