Checkonchain Bitcoin Newsletter

Checkonchain Bitcoin Newsletter

A Classic Bitcoin Market Update

We're long overdue a complete market update, and today we perform a broad overview of pricing models, mean reversion probabilities, and what spot, onchain, ETFs, and derivatives datasets are saying.

James Check (Checkmatey)'s avatar
James Check (Checkmatey)
Mar 26, 2026
∙ Paid

G’day Folks,

We’re well overdue for a comprehensive market update, where I analyse all the Bitcoin market sectors, and piece together a cohesive story, as I see it.

In this update, I will cover:

  • The geopolitical backdrop given recent de-escalation attempts.

  • Pricing models and mean reversion probabilities.

  • Status of bottom formation signals across onchain metrics.

  • Investor behaviour patterns in ETF and spot markets.

  • What leveraged players are doing in futures and options markets.

Let’s get stuck into the data!

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